What is the voting 'headroom' in Central Devon?
With the Conservatives having won the four General Elections in Central Devon a key question for tactical voters is 'which other party has the 'vote headroom' to mount a challenge?'
A voter intention poll conducted in June 2023 by Omnisis showed that in the South West most voters would switch their vote to the Liberal Democrats if they did not vote for their 1st choice party. 33% of voters said they would switch to the Liberal Democrats compared with just 22% for the Labour Party.
"I think it demonstrates that Labour's 'vote ceiling' is not high enough to beat the Conservatives in Central Devon," said Mark Wooding, Liberal Democrat Prospective Parliamenatry candidate. "Labour continue to pedal the claim that coming second in 2017 and 2019 proves they can win in the next General Election. This research says they can't. Labour cannot win over enough (small-c) conservatives, they just don't have any appetite for Sir Keir Starmer.
"It is not as if the Liberal Democrats just 'edge it' there is a clear difference in voting preference. I appeal to Labour and Green Party voters to vote tactically and lend their votes to the Liberal Democrats if they want to unseat the incumbent Conservative MP. Until we introduce proportional representation for voting this is the only way for a progressive candidate to be elected.
"This is further evidence on top of by-election wins in Somerton & Frome and Tiverton & Honiton, coupled with a storming performance at this May's local elections, that in Central Devon the Liberal Democrats are THE opposition to the Conservatives."